A structural equation model application to disentangle the complex effects of climate variability on armed conflict 

8 Pages Posted: 28 Jan 2025

See all articles by Xiaolan Xie

Xiaolan Xie

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR)

Jun Zhuo

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR)

Shuai Chen

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR)

Juergen Scheffran

University of Hamburg - Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN)

Fangyu Ding

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research

Mengmeng Hao

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research

Jiajie Wu

China Academy of Space Technology

Jiping Dong

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR)

Ze Meng

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR)

Dong Jiang

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research

Date Written: October 01, 2024

Abstract

The effect of climate variability on armed conflict has been discussed widely, yet their links remain unclear. To address this issue, we use a Structural Equation Model (SEM) to explore the direct and indirect effects of climate variability on armed conflict. In this protocol, we describe the process for building the conceptual SEM and providing practical guidelines for SEM analysis. This protocol can also be applied to explore the nexus between multiple variables in other fields.

Keywords: Direct effect, indirect effect, causal link

Suggested Citation

Xie, Xiaolan and Zhuo, Jun and Chen, Shuai and Scheffran, Juergen and Ding, Fangyu and Hao, Mengmeng and Wu, Jiajie and Dong, Jiping and Meng, Ze and Jiang, Dong, A structural equation model application to disentangle the complex effects of climate variability on armed conflict  (October 01, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5046052 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5046052

Xiaolan Xie (Contact Author)

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR) ( email )

Jun Zhuo

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR) ( email )

Shuai Chen

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR) ( email )

Juergen Scheffran

University of Hamburg - Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN) ( email )

Fangyu Ding

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research ( email )

Mengmeng Hao

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research ( email )

Jiajie Wu

China Academy of Space Technology ( email )

China

Jiping Dong

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR) ( email )

Ze Meng

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research (IGSNRR) ( email )

Dong Jiang

Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) - Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research ( email )

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