Risk Premiums in the Cryptocurrency Market
48 Pages Posted: 16 Dec 2024 Last revised: 3 Apr 2025
Date Written: December 14, 2024
Abstract
We examine the relationship between cryptocurrencies and the stock market to find out whether risk premiums exist in the cryptocurrency market. A double-sorted portfolio strategy that buys cryptocurrencies with the highest exposure to the stock market - high exposure to the market returns and low exposure to the market return volatility - and shorts cryptocurrencies with the lowest exposure to the stock market - low exposure to the market return and high exposure to the market return volatility - generates an excess return of 50% annually after surviving borrowing and trading costs. Exposure to the stock market using the principal component analysis of equity market returns and volatility produces monotonic returns and a long-short strategy return of more than 85% annually. We propose a reduced-form model that considers cryptocurrencies as levered assets on the equity market and provides evidence that investors have since 2018 employed coins in portfolio strategies which in turn have created a connection between the two markets.
JEL Classification: C8, G10, G12
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Risk Premiums in the Cryptocurrency Market
(December 14, 2024). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5056328 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5056328