Stock Option Expense, Forward-Looking Information, and Implied Volatilities of Traded Options

37 Pages Posted: 3 May 2004

See all articles by Eli Bartov

Eli Bartov

NYU Stern School of Business

Partha S. Mohanram

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management

Doron Nissim

Columbia University - Columbia Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: April 2004

Abstract

Prior research generally finds that firms underreport option expense by managing assumptions underlying option valuation (e.g. they shorten the expected option lives), but it fails to document management of a key assumption, the one concerning expected stock-price volatility. Using a new methodology, we address two questions: (1) To what extent do companies follow the guidance in FAS 123 and use forward looking information in addition to the readily available historical volatility in estimating expected volatility? (2) What determines the cross-sectional variation in the reliance on forward looking information? We find that firms use both historical and forward-looking information in deriving expected volatility. We also find, however, that the reliance on forward-looking information is limited to situations where this reliance results in reduced expected volatility and thus smaller option expense. We interpret this finding as managers opportunistically use the discretion in estimating expected volatility afforded by FAS 123. In support of this interpretation, we also find that managerial incentives play a key role in this opportunism.

Keywords: Executive Stock Options, Forward-looking Information, SFAS No. 123, Call option, Implied Volatility

JEL Classification: M41, M45, J33, G30, G13

Suggested Citation

Bartov, Eli and Mohanram, Partha S. and Nissim, Doron, Stock Option Expense, Forward-Looking Information, and Implied Volatilities of Traded Options (April 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=510042 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.510042

Eli Bartov

NYU Stern School of Business ( email )

44 W. 4th Street, Suite 10-96
New York, NY 10012
United States
212.998.0016 (Phone)

Partha S. Mohanram (Contact Author)

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management ( email )

105 St. George Street
Toronto, Ontario M5S 3E6 M5S1S4
Canada

Doron Nissim

Columbia University - Columbia Business School ( email )

3022 Broadway
604 Uris Hall
New York, NY 10027
United States
212-854-4249 (Phone)

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