No News Is Good News? The Declining Information Value of Broadcast News in America

22 Pages Posted: 10 Apr 2025

See all articles by Johann Gaebler

Johann Gaebler

Harvard University - Department of Statistics

Sean Westwood

Dartmouth College

Shanto Iyengar

Stanford University - Department of Communication

Sharad Goel

Harvard University

Date Written: February 12, 2025

Abstract

Despite the rise of digital media, Americans are five times more likely to consume news via television than through online platforms. However, due in large part to technical hurdles, it remains unclear what content appears on broadcast news and how the mixture of content has changed over time. We consider these questions by applying a novel LLM-based approach to an understudied corpus of expertgenerated summaries of virtually all news segments aired on the "big three" broadcast networks—ABC, CBS, and NBC—between 1968 and 2019. Results based on nearly one million news segments show that "information density"—the amount of time dedicated to political issues—has declined substantially over the last 50 years. Today, broadcast news spends twice as much time on commercials and "soft" news and half as much on issue-based political coverage compared to a few decades ago. Since the early 1990s, the news has also shifted inward, focusing more on domestic stories and less on international affairs. These changes suggest a transformation in the informative role of broadcast news, raising questions about its impact on voter knowledge and political engagement.

Keywords: broadcast news, democratic discourse, long-term media trends, large language models, hierarchical classification

Suggested Citation

Gaebler, Johann and Westwood, Sean and Iyengar, Shanto and Goel, Sharad, No News Is Good News? The Declining Information Value of Broadcast News in America (February 12, 2025). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5136966 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5136966

Johann Gaebler (Contact Author)

Harvard University - Department of Statistics ( email )

Science Center 7th floor
One Oxford Street
Cambridge, MA 02138-2901
United States

Sean Westwood

Dartmouth College ( email )

Department of Government
Hanover, NH 03755
United States
7752293205 (Phone)
7752293205 (Fax)

Shanto Iyengar

Stanford University - Department of Communication ( email )

CA
United States
650-723-5509 (Phone)
650-723-6933 (Fax)

Sharad Goel

Harvard University ( email )

1875 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

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