An Alpha in Affordable Housing?

79 Pages Posted: 18 Feb 2025 Last revised: 3 Mar 2025

See all articles by Sven Damen

Sven Damen

University of Antwerp

Matthijs Korevaar

Erasmus School of Economics

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Columbia University Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); ABFER

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Date Written: February 2025

Abstract

Residential properties with the lowest rent levels provide the highest investment returns to their owners. Using detailed rent, cost, and price data from the United States, Belgium, and The Netherlands, we show that this phenomenon holds across housing markets and time. If anything, low-rent units hedge business cycle risk. We also find no evidence for differential regulatory risk exposure. We document segmentation of investors, with large corporate landlords shying away from the low-tier segment possibly for reputational reasons. Financial constraints prevent renters from purchasing their property and medium-sized landlords from scaling up, sustaining excess risk-adjusted returns. Low-income tenants ultimately pay the price for this segmentation in the form of a high rent burden.

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Suggested Citation

Damen, Sven and Korevaar, Matthijs and Van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, An Alpha in Affordable Housing? (February 2025). NBER Working Paper No. w33470, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5140716

Sven Damen (Contact Author)

University of Antwerp ( email )

Prinsstraat 13
Antwerp, 2000
Belgium

HOME PAGE: http://www.svendamen.com

Matthijs Korevaar

Erasmus School of Economics ( email )

Netherlands

Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

Columbia University Graduate School of Business ( email )

3022 Broadway
Uris Hall 809
New York, NY New York 10027
United States

HOME PAGE: http://https://www0.gsb.columbia.edu/faculty/svannieuwerburgh/

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

ABFER ( email )

BIZ 2 Storey 4, 04-05
1 Business Link
Singapore, 117592
Singapore

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