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Intact Forest Canopies Can Protect Tropical Organisms from Severe Climate Warming

22 Pages Posted: 19 Mar 2025 Publication Status: Review Complete

See all articles by Michael Boyle

Michael Boyle

The University of Hong Kong

Joseph Williamson

Queen Mary University of London

Stephen Rossiter

Queen Mary University of London

Rosie Drinkwater

Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU)

Joel S. Woon

Natural History Museum; University of Liverpool

Louise Amy Ashton

The University of Hong Kong

Michiel van Breugel

Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute

Paul Eggleton

Natural History Museum

Theodore A. Evans

The University of Western Australia

Owen T. Lewis

University of Oxford

Marion Pfeifer

Newcastle University

Sarab S. Sethi

Imperial College London

Eleanor M. Slade

Nanyang Technological University (NTU)

Arthur Y. C. Chung

Malaysian Forest Research Institute

Robert M. Ewers

Imperial College London

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Abstract

As undisturbed tropical forests become increasingly rare, the importance of logged and recovering forests for the conservation of biodiversity has gained much attention. Disturbed forests can, however, have hotter microclimates, which may exacerbate the effects of future climate change on biodiversity and alter ecosystem processes. We used thermal imaging to capture surface temperatures along a gradient of logging intensity in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo, and compared these to the upper thermal limits (CTmax) of over 5000 individual invertebrates from 129 taxa collected from the same forests. We found that reducing canopy closure by 5% led to an increase in mean and maximum surface temperatures during the hottest parts of the day by 1 °C and 4.1 °C, respectively. Maximum surface temperatures were recorded that exceeded the CTmax of all invertebrate groups once forest canopy was reduced beyond 76%. Total available surface niche space was reduced by up to 22% for the most sensitive taxa in the most heavily disturbed forests, and this doubled following simulated warming, with a reduction in surface niche space of 42% in highly degraded patches. In contrast, sites that retained 80% forest canopy or higher were able to sufficiently buffer all available thermal surfaces for all groups even following severe warming. We demonstrate a very narrow threshold of forest disturbance beyond which the capacity for microclimate buffering is significantly diminished. These findings illustrate the crucial importance of conserving and restoring high canopy cover forests, which may be unique in their ability to protect tropical biodiversity in a hotter future.

Keywords: Tropical Forests, Microclimates, Insects, Logging, Restoration, Climate Change, Land-Use Change

Suggested Citation

Boyle, Michael and Williamson, Joseph and Rossiter, Stephen and Drinkwater, Rosie and Woon, Joel S. and Ashton, Louise Amy and van Breugel, Michiel and Eggleton, Paul and Evans, Theodore A. and Lewis, Owen T. and Pfeifer, Marion and Sethi, Sarab S. and Slade, Eleanor M. and Chung, Arthur Y. C. and Ewers, Robert M. and Administrator, Sneak Peek, Intact Forest Canopies Can Protect Tropical Organisms from Severe Climate Warming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5183911 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5183911
This version of the paper has not been formally peer reviewed.

Michael Boyle (Contact Author)

The University of Hong Kong ( email )

Pokfulam Road
Hong Kong, HK
China

Joseph Williamson

Queen Mary University of London ( email )

Stephen Rossiter

Queen Mary University of London ( email )

Rosie Drinkwater

Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich (LMU) ( email )

Joel S. Woon

Natural History Museum ( email )

University of Liverpool ( email )

Chatham Street
Brownlow Hill
Liverpool, L69 7ZA
United Kingdom

Louise Amy Ashton

The University of Hong Kong ( email )

Pokfulam Road
Hong Kong, HK
China

Michiel Van Breugel

Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute ( email )

Paul Eggleton

Natural History Museum ( email )

Cromwell Road
London, SW7 5BD
United Kingdom

Theodore A. Evans

The University of Western Australia ( email )

Owen T. Lewis

University of Oxford ( email )

Marion Pfeifer

Newcastle University ( email )

Newcastle upon Tyne
NE1 7RU
United Kingdom

Sarab S. Sethi

Imperial College London ( email )

South Kensington Campus
Exhibition Road
London, SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

Eleanor M. Slade

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) ( email )

Arthur Y. C. Chung

Malaysian Forest Research Institute ( email )

Robert M. Ewers

Imperial College London ( email )

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