Defensive Hiring and Creative Destruction

61 Pages Posted: 1 Apr 2025

See all articles by Jesús Fernández-Villaverde

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Yang Yu

Shanghai Jiao Tong University (SJTU) - Antai College of Economics and Management

Francesco Zanetti

University of Oxford; Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 11, 2025

Abstract

Defensive hiring of researchers by incumbent firms with monopsony power reduces creative destruction. This mechanism helps explain the simultaneous rise in R&D spending and decline in TFP growth in the US economy over recent decades. We develop a simple model highlighting the critical role of the inelastic supply of research labor in enabling this effect. Empirical evidence confirms that the research labor supply in the US is indeed inelastic and supports other model predictions: incumbent R&D spending is negatively correlated with creative destruction and sectoral TFP growth while extending incumbents’ lifespan. All these effects are amplified when ideas are harder to find. An extended version of the model quantifies these mechanisms’ implications for productivity, innovation, and policy.

Keywords: productivity growth, innovation, R&D, patents, creative destruction

JEL Classification: E220, L110, O310, O330

Suggested Citation

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús and Yu, Yang and Zanetti, Francesco, Defensive Hiring and Creative Destruction (March 11, 2025). CESifo Working Paper No. 11753, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5200286 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5200286

Jesús Fernández-Villaverde (Contact Author)

University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Yang Yu

Shanghai Jiao Tong University (SJTU) - Antai College of Economics and Management ( email )

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Francesco Zanetti

University of Oxford ( email )

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Australian National University (ANU) - Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) ( email )

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