Pedaling Towards Prosperity: The Impact of Bicycle Distribution on Rural Livelihoods in Zambia

22 Pages Posted: 14 May 2025

See all articles by Kashif Ahmed

Kashif Ahmed

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Jeffery McManus

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Mulenga Mukanu

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Winnie Sambu

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Michael Sebele

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Abstract

Seventy percent of the rural population in Africa lacks access to reliable transportation, which contributes to poor economic, health, and education outcomes. This paper studies the impact of targeted bicycle distribution on rural livelihoods in Zambia. We randomized 120 livelihoods groups, comprising 1,297 members, along with 273 community service workers, to receive a bicycle or not, and we surveyed study participants at baseline and one year later. We find that bicycle recipients fared significantly better than the control group: Bicycle recipients reported 24% higher monthly household consumption and 43% higher monthly household income at endline compared to non-recipients. These effects were driven by bicycle recipients spending less time traveling to essential destinations, more time in livelihoods-enhancing activities, more livelihoods-related trips, and greater ability to carry produce. Our findings suggest that bicycles may be a cost-effective tool for alleviating transportation constraints and improving productivity in rural, low-income settings.

Keywords: Bicycles, transportation, Productivity, livelihoods, Resilience, Zambia

Suggested Citation

Ahmed, Kashif and McManus, Jeffery and Mukanu, Mulenga and Sambu, Winnie and Sebele, Michael, Pedaling Towards Prosperity: The Impact of Bicycle Distribution on Rural Livelihoods in Zambia. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5254374 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5254374

Kashif Ahmed

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Jeffery McManus (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Mulenga Mukanu

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Winnie Sambu

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

Michael Sebele

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

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