Enhancing State of Charge Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Through Linear Polynomial Regression – Support Vector Machine Modeling with Temperature Varying and Open Circuit Voltage Compensation

23 Pages Posted: 18 May 2025

See all articles by Ebenezer Koukoyi

Ebenezer Koukoyi

Southwest University of Science and Technology

Shunli Wang

Southwest University of Science and Technology

Xiaoxia Li

Southwest University of Science and Technology

Junjie Tao

Southwest University of Science and Technology

Bobobee Etse Dablu

Inner Mongolia University of Technology

Carlos Fernandez

Robert Gordon University

Frede Blaabjerg

Aalborg University

Abstract

Accurately estimating lithium-ion batteries' State of Charge (SOC) and Open Circuit Voltage (OCV) is vital for efficient energy storage system management, especially in electric vehicles. Temperature fluctuations pose a significant challenge to precise SOC estimation. This paper presents a novel method that combines Linear Polynomial Regression (LPR) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) with temperature compensation. LPR models the temperature-dependent OCV-SOC relationship, and SVM fine-tunes SOC prediction, considering complex non-linearities. Experimental results show remarkable improvements. When comparing RMSE values, without temperature compensation, it ranges from 5.1% at - 10°C to 3.7% at 25°C. After applying the proposed method, it drops to 3.0% at - 10°C and 1.8% at 25°C. For MAE, it decreases from 4.8% at - 10°C and 3.2% at 25°C without compensation to 2.9% and 1.7%, respectively, with compensation. The LPR-SVM model outperforms other methods, with the lowest RMSE, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing SOC prediction accuracy across different temperatures.

Keywords: Linear Polynomial Regression, Temperature Compensation, Electrochemical Dynamics, Non-linear Regression, Support Vector Machine

Suggested Citation

Koukoyi, Ebenezer and Wang, Shunli and Li, Xiaoxia and Tao, Junjie and Dablu, Bobobee Etse and Fernandez, Carlos and Blaabjerg, Frede, Enhancing State of Charge Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Through Linear Polynomial Regression – Support Vector Machine Modeling with Temperature Varying and Open Circuit Voltage Compensation. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5258861 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5258861

Ebenezer Koukoyi

Southwest University of Science and Technology ( email )

China

Shunli Wang (Contact Author)

Southwest University of Science and Technology ( email )

Xiaoxia Li

Southwest University of Science and Technology ( email )

China

Junjie Tao

Southwest University of Science and Technology ( email )

China

Bobobee Etse Dablu

Inner Mongolia University of Technology ( email )

Hohhot, 010051
China

Carlos Fernandez

Robert Gordon University ( email )

Garthdee Road
AB10 7QE, AB10 7QE
United Kingdom

Frede Blaabjerg

Aalborg University ( email )

Fredrik Bajers Vej 7E
Aalborg, DK-9220
Denmark

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