The Effects of Political Advertising on Facebook and Instagram before the 2020 US Election

257 Pages Posted: 20 May 2025 Last revised: 28 May 2026

See all articles by Hunt Allcott

Hunt Allcott

Stanford University

Matthew Gentzkow

Stanford University

Ro’ee Levy

Tel Aviv University

Adriana Crespo-Tenorio

Meta

Natasha Dumas

Meta

Winter Mason

Facebook; Stevens Institute of Technology - School of Business

Devra Moehler

Meta

Pablo Barbera

Facebook

Taylor Brown

Meta

Juan Carlos Cisneros

Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF) - Department of Economics and Business

Drew Dimmery

Meta

Deen Freelon

University of Pennsylvania

Sandra González-Bailón

University of Pennsylvania

Andrew Guess

Princeton University

Young Mie Kim

University of Wisconsin-Madison

David Lazer

Northeastern University (USA)

Neil A. Malhotra

Stanford Graduate School of Business

Sameer Nair-Desai

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor

Brendan Nyhan

Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy

Ana Carolina Paixao de Queiroz

Stanford University

Jennifer Pan

Stanford University

Jaime Settle

William & Mary

Emily Thorson

Syracuse University

Rebekah Tromble

The George Washington University

Carlos Velasco

Meta

Benjamin Wittenbrink

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)

Magdalena Wojcieszak

University of California, Davis

Shiqi Yang

Stanford University

Saam Zahedian

Northwestern University

Annie Franco

Meta

Chad Kiewiet de Jonge

Meta

Talia Stroud

University of Texas at Austin

Joshua A. Tucker

New York University (NYU)

Date Written: May 2025

Abstract

We study the effects of social media political advertising by randomizing subsets of 36,906 Facebook users and 25,925 Instagram users to have political ads removed from their news feeds for six weeks before the 2020 US presidential election. We show that most presidential ads were targeted toward parties’ own supporters and that fundraising ads were most common. On both Facebook and Instagram, we found no detectable effects of removing political ads on political knowledge, polarization, perceived legitimacy of the election, political participation (including campaign contributions), candidate favorability, and turnout. This was true overall and for both Democrats and Republicans separately.

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Suggested Citation

Allcott, Hunt and Gentzkow, Matthew and Levy, Ro’ee and Crespo-Tenorio, Adriana and Dumas, Natasha and Mason, Winter and Moehler, Devra and Barbera, Pablo and Brown, Taylor and Cisneros, Juan Carlos and Dimmery, Drew and Freelon, Deen and González-Bailón, Sandra and Guess, Andrew and Kim, Young Mie and Lazer, David and Malhotra, Neil A. and Nair-Desai, Sameer and Nyhan, Brendan and Paixao de Queiroz, Ana Carolina and Pan, Jennifer and Settle, Jaime and Thorson, Emily and Tromble, Rebekah and Velasco, Carlos and Wittenbrink, Benjamin and Wojcieszak, Magdalena and Yang, Shiqi and Zahedian, Saam and Franco, Annie and Kiewiet de Jonge, Chad and Stroud, Talia and Tucker, Joshua Aaron, The Effects of Political Advertising on Facebook and Instagram before the 2020 US Election (May 2025). NBER Working Paper No. w33818, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=5259653

Hunt Allcott (Contact Author)

Stanford University ( email )

367 Panama St
Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Matthew Gentzkow

Stanford University ( email )

Ro’Ee Levy

Tel Aviv University ( email )

Ramat Aviv
Tel-Aviv, 6997801
Israel

Adriana Crespo-Tenorio

Meta ( email )

Av. Brig. Faria Lima, 3732 - Itaim Bibi
São Paulo
Brazil

Natasha Dumas

Meta ( email )

Av. Brig. Faria Lima, 3732 - Itaim Bibi
São Paulo
Brazil

Winter Mason

Facebook ( email )

1601 S. California Ave.
Palo Alto, CA 94304
United States

Stevens Institute of Technology - School of Business ( email )

Hoboken, NJ 07030
United States

Devra Moehler

Meta ( email )

Pablo Barbera

Facebook ( email )

1601 S. California Ave.
Palo Alto, CA 94304
United States

Taylor Brown

Meta ( email )

Av. Brig. Faria Lima, 3732 - Itaim Bibi
São Paulo
Brazil

Juan Carlos Cisneros

Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF) - Department of Economics and Business ( email )

Barcelona
Spain

Drew Dimmery

Meta ( email )

Deen Freelon

University of Pennsylvania ( email )

Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States

Sandra González-Bailón

University of Pennsylvania ( email )

Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States

Andrew Guess

Princeton University

Robertson Hall, 4th Floor
Princeton, NJ 08544
United States

Young Mie Kim

University of Wisconsin-Madison ( email )

Madison, WI
United States

David Lazer

Northeastern University (USA) ( email )

220 B RP
Boston, MA 02115
United States

Neil A. Malhotra

Stanford Graduate School of Business ( email )

655 Knight Way
Stanford, CA 94305-5015
United States

Sameer Nair-Desai

University of Michigan at Ann Arbor ( email )

500 S. State Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States

Brendan Nyhan

Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy ( email )

735 South State Street, Weill Hall
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States

Ana Carolina Paixao De Queiroz

Stanford University ( email )

367 Panama St
Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Jennifer Pan

Stanford University ( email )

367 Panama St
Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Jaime Settle

William & Mary ( email )

Williamsburg, VA 23185
United States

Emily Thorson

Syracuse University ( email )

900 S. Crouse Avenue
Syracuse, NY 13244-2130
United States

Rebekah Tromble

The George Washington University ( email )

Washington, DC

Benjamin Wittenbrink

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ( email )

77 Massachusetts Avenue
50 Memorial Drive
Cambridge, MA 02139-4307
United States

Magdalena Wojcieszak

University of California, Davis ( email )

One Shields Avenue
Apt 153
Davis, CA 95616
United States

Shiqi Yang

Stanford University ( email )

367 Panama St
Stanford, CA 94305
United States

Saam Zahedian

Northwestern University ( email )

2001 Sheridan Road
Evanston, IL Ilocos Norte 60208
United States

Annie Franco

Meta ( email )

Av. Brig. Faria Lima, 3732 - Itaim Bibi
São Paulo
Brazil

Chad Kiewiet De Jonge

Meta ( email )

Av. Brig. Faria Lima, 3732 - Itaim Bibi
São Paulo
Brazil

Talia Stroud

University of Texas at Austin ( email )

Joshua Aaron Tucker

New York University (NYU) ( email )

Bobst Library, E-resource Acquisitions
20 Cooper Square 3rd Floor
New York, NY 10003-711
United States

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