Is IPO Underperformance a Peso Problem?

Ang, Andrew; Gu, Li; Hochberg, Yael V.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.527642

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Is IPO Underperformance a Peso Problem?

42 Pages Posted: 12 Apr 2004

See all articles by Andrew Ang

Yael V. Hochberg

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Rice University - Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Business

There are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 25, 2005

Abstract

Recent studies suggest that the underperformance of IPO's in the post-1970 sample may be a small sample effect or Peso problem. That is, IPO underperformance may be due to observing too few star performers ex-post than were expected ex-ante. We develop a model of IPO performance that captures this intuition, by allowing returns to be drawn from mixtures of outstanding, benchmark, or poor performance. We estimate the model under the null of no ex-ante average IPO underperformance to construct small sample distributions of various statistics measuring IPO relative performance. We find that small sample biases are extremely unlikely to account for the magnitude of the post-1970 IPO underperformance observed in data.

Keywords: IPO, long-run performance, small sample inference, peso problem

JEL Classification: G12, G14, G32

Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation

Ang, Andrew and Gu, Li and Hochberg, Yael V., Is IPO Underperformance a Peso Problem? (October 25, 2005). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=527642 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.527642