The Effects of Vocational Training Programmes on the Duration of Unemployment in Eastern Germany
23 Pages Posted: 22 Apr 2004
Date Written: April 2004
This paper focuses on the effects of vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany. We use information from administrative data of the Federal Employment Office. To allow for observable and possible unobservable influences we apply a multivariate mixed proportional hazard model. Furthermore, particular interest is spent on possible locking-in effects by separate estimation of in- and after-programme effects. Regarding several different programme durations our results show insignificant in- and after-programme effects for short-term programmes, insignificant in-programme and negative after-programme effects for mid-term programmes and negative in- and after-programme effects for long-term programmes.
Keywords: vocational training, programme evaluation, duration analysis, treatment effect
JEL Classification: J64, J24, I28, J68
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