Behavioral Biases of Dealers in U.S. Treasury Auctions

40 Pages Posted: 13 May 2004

See all articles by David Goldreich

David Goldreich

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management

Date Written: December 2004

Abstract

This paper provides evidence of bounded rationality by large dealers in U.S. Treasury auctions. I argue that these dealers use a heuristic of yield-space bidding which leads to biases manifested in three ways: they submit dominated bids, i.e., those that could be improved without raising the bidding price; they bid in a manner that disregards the unevenly spaced price grid; and they round bids in yield space. Consistent with bounded rationality, I show that bidders are less susceptible to bias when the cost of suboptimal bidding is high. While the literature provides substantial evidence of behavioral biases among individual investors, they are less well documented for large sophisticated institutions that are likely to be important for setting asset prices. These primary bond dealers who regularly bid for billions of dollars in Treasury bill auctions are precisely such economic agents.

Keywords: Behavioral finance, bounded rationality, treasury bills, auctions

JEL Classification: H63, H74, D44

Suggested Citation

Goldreich, David, Behavioral Biases of Dealers in U.S. Treasury Auctions (December 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=545822 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.545822

David Goldreich (Contact Author)

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management ( email )

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