Disagreement and the Superior Performance of Value Stocks

18 Pages Posted: 21 May 2004

See all articles by John A. Doukas

John A. Doukas

Old Dominion University - Strome College of Business

Chansog (Francis) Kim

The State University of New York at Stony Brook

Christos Pantzalis

University of South Florida

Date Written: May 18, 2004

Abstract

We investigate whether divergence of opinion among investors, manifested in the dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts, plays an important role in asset pricing. Specifically, we test whether disagreement can explain the cross-sectional return difference between value and growth stocks over the 1983-2001 period. Consistent with the theoretical proposition of Williams (1977), that stocks subject to greater investor disagreement earn higher returns, we find value stocks to be exposed to greater investor disagreement than glamour stocks. Our findings suggest that the return advantage of value strategies is a reward for the greater disagreement characterizing their future growth in earnings. Alternative multifactor asset pricing tests show that investor disagreement plays an important role in explaining the superior return of value stocks.

JEL Classification: G11, G12, G14

Suggested Citation

Doukas, John A. and Kim, Chansog (Francis) and Pantzalis, Christos, Disagreement and the Superior Performance of Value Stocks (May 18, 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=548422 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.548422

John A. Doukas (Contact Author)

Old Dominion University - Strome College of Business ( email )

2080 Constant Hall
Suite 2080
Norfolk, VA 23529-0222
United States
757-683-5521 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.efmaefm.org/0DOUKAS/doukas.php

Chansog (Francis) Kim

The State University of New York at Stony Brook ( email )

College of Business
Stony Brook, NY 11794
United States
5163040037 (Phone)
631-632-9412 (Fax)

Christos Pantzalis

University of South Florida ( email )

Tampa, FL 33620-5500
United States
(813) 974-3262 (Phone)

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