Democracy at the Edge of Chaos: Understanding Power-Law in Indonesian Elections

BFI Working Paper No. WPT2004

9 Pages Posted: 13 Oct 2004

See all articles by Hokky Situngkir

Hokky Situngkir

Bandung Fe Institute; Center for Complexity in Surya University

Yohanes Surya

Surya Research Intl.

Date Written: September 2004

Abstract

We construct a majority cellular automata based model to explain the power-law signatures in Indonesian general election results. The understanding of second-order phase transitions between two different conditions inspires the model. The democracy is assumed as critical point between the two extreme socio-political situations of totalitarian and anarchistic social system - where democracy can fall into the twos. The model is in multi-party candidates system run for equilibrium or equilibria, and used to fit and analyze the three of democratic national elections in Indonesia, 1955, 1999, and 2004.

Keywords: Majority cellular automata, phase transitions, power-laws, elections

JEL Classification: D72

Suggested Citation

Situngkir, Hokky and Surya, Yohanes, Democracy at the Edge of Chaos: Understanding Power-Law in Indonesian Elections (September 2004). BFI Working Paper No. WPT2004. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=601807 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.601807

Hokky Situngkir (Contact Author)

Bandung Fe Institute ( email )

Sarimadu Permai 175
Bandung, Jawa Barat 40164
Indonesia
+622282025586 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.bandungfe.net

Center for Complexity in Surya University

Jl. Boulevard Gading Serpong Blok O/1
Summarecon Serpong
Tangerang, Banten 15810
Indonesia

Yohanes Surya

Surya Research Intl. ( email )

No Address Available

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
80
Abstract Views
661
rank
312,429
PlumX Metrics