Estimating Individual Vulnerability to Poverty with Pseudo-Panel Data

17 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2016

See all articles by Francois Bourguignon

Francois Bourguignon

Paris School of Economics

Chor-Ching Goh

The World Bank

Dae Il Kim

Rice University - Department of Economics

Date Written: August 12, 2004

Abstract

Bourguignon, Goh, and Kim present an original method to study individual earning dynamics using repeated cross-sectional data. Because panel data of individuals are seldom available in developing countries, it is difficult to study individual earning dynamics and related issues such as the propensity of earners to fall into poverty or vulnerability to poverty because of changes in earnings. The authors show that under the assumption that individual earning dynamics obey some basic properties and follow a simple stochastic process, the main parameters of this process can be recovered from repeated cross-sectional data. The knowledge of these parameters then permits simulation of the earning dynamics of an individual, and estimate other measures of interest, such as an individual's vulnerability to poverty. The results show that model parameters recovered from pseudo panels approximate reasonably well those estimated directly from a true panel. Moreover, implications of the model, in this case pseudo-panel measures of vulnerability to poverty, reflect closely those based on actual panel data.

This paper - a product of the Office of the Vice President and Chief Economist, Development Economics - is part of a larger effort in the vice presidency to improve measurement of vulnerability to poverty.

Suggested Citation

Bourguignon, Fran├žois and Goh, Chor-Ching and Kim, Dae Il, Estimating Individual Vulnerability to Poverty with Pseudo-Panel Data (August 12, 2004). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=625252

Fran├žois Bourguignon (Contact Author)

Paris School of Economics ( email )

48 Boulevard Jourdan
Paris, 75014 75014
France

Chor-Ching Goh

The World Bank ( email )

1818 H Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20433
United States

Dae Il Kim

Rice University - Department of Economics

P.O. Box 1892
Houston, TX 77251-1892
United States

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