Affine Stochastic Mortality

24 Pages Posted: 11 Dec 2004

Date Written: October 22, 2004


We propose a new model for stochastic mortality. The model is based on the literature on affine term structure models. It satisfies three important requirements for application in practice: analytical tractibility, clear interpretation of the factors and compatibility with financial option pricing models. We test the model fit using data on Dutch mortality rates. Furthermore we discuss the specification of a market price of mortality risk and apply the model to the pricing of a Guaranteed Annuity Option and the calculation of required Economic Capital for mortality risk.

Keywords: Stochastic Mortality, Affine Models, Mortality Laws, Longevity Risk, Market Price of Mortality

JEL Classification: C33, G12, G13, J11

Suggested Citation

Schrager, David, Affine Stochastic Mortality (October 22, 2004). Available at SSRN: or

David Schrager (Contact Author)

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