Uganda: No More Pro-Poor Growth?

27 Pages Posted: 31 Dec 2004

See all articles by Robert T. Kappel

Robert T. Kappel

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA)

Jann Lay

GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies; University of Goettingen

Susan Steiner

Institute for African Affairs

Abstract

This article explores changing growth regimes in Uganda, from pro-poor growth in the 1990s to growth without poverty reduction, actually even with a slight increase in poverty, after 2000. Not surprisingly, it finds that good agricultural performance is the key determinant of direct pro-poor growth in the 1990s, while lower agricultural growth is the root cause of the recent increase in poverty. At the same time, after 2000 low agricultural growth appears to have induced important employment shifts out of agriculture, which have dampened the increase in poverty. The article also assesses the indirect form of pro-poor growth by analysing the incidence of public spending and the tax system, and finds that indirect pro-poor growth has been achieved to only a limited extent.

Suggested Citation

Kappel, Robert T. and Lay, Jann and Steiner, Susan, Uganda: No More Pro-Poor Growth?. Development Policy Review, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 27-53, January 2005. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=640087

Robert T. Kappel (Contact Author)

German Institute of Global and Area Studies (GIGA) ( email )

Deutsches √úbersee-Institut/German Overseas Institu
Neuer Jungfernstieg 21
Hamburg, D-20354
Germany
+49-40-42825500 (Phone)

Jann Lay

GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies ( email )

Neuer Jungfernstieg 21
Hamburg, DE D-20354
Germany

University of Goettingen

Platz der Gottinger Sieben 3
Gottingen, D-37073
Germany

Susan Steiner

Institute for African Affairs ( email )

Neuer Jungfernstieg 21
20354 Hamburg
Germany
+49 40 42825 518 (Phone)
+49 40 42825 511 (Fax)

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