International Asset Pricing and Portfolio Diversification with Time-Varying Risk
Posted: 6 Mar 1998
We test the conditional CAPM for the world's eight largest equity markets using a parsimonious GARCH parameterization. Our methodology can be applied simultaneously to many assets and, at the same time, accommodate general dynamics of the conditional moments. The evidence supports most of the pricing restrictions of the model, but some of the variation in risk-adjusted excess returns remains predictable during periods of high interest rates. Our estimates indicate that, although severe market declines are contagious, the expected gains from international diversification for a U.S. investor average 2.11% per year and have not significantly declined over the last two decades.
JEL Classification: G12, G15
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