Markets for Afghan Opium and Us Heroin: Modeling the Connections

18 Pages Posted: 18 Feb 2005 Last revised: 19 Nov 2013

See all articles by David Zetland

David Zetland

Leiden University - Leiden University College

Date Written: January 23, 2003

Abstract

This modeling project examines the short-run effects of a program wherein the United States becomes the primary buyer of opium produced in Afghanistan and thereby reduces the global supply of heroin (refined opium). The model graphically shows that supply-side intervention will result in a large decrease in short-run world heroin supply, as well as many beneficial side effects. The U.S. heroin market is neither adversely nor beneficially affected, despite a budget-neutral change in spending priorities.

Keywords: opium, heroin, drug wars, supply-side control, international narcotics trafficking, alternative development

JEL Classification: H11, K42, O17

Suggested Citation

Zetland, David, Markets for Afghan Opium and Us Heroin: Modeling the Connections (January 23, 2003). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=668761 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.668761

David Zetland (Contact Author)

Leiden University - Leiden University College ( email )

P.O. Box 13228
Den Haag, 2501EE
Netherlands

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