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The Long-Term Value of Analysts' Advice in the Wall Street Journal's
Investment Dartboard Contest

14 Pages Posted: 22 Feb 2005  

Gary E. Porter

Northeastern University

Abstract

For nearly thirteen years, the Investment Dartboard column featured the stock recommendations of prominent equity analysts in a contest with the stocks selected by Journal staffers throwing darts. Over the life of the column, investors who rebalanced their portfolios according to the analysts' recommendations achieved higher terminal wealth, but a lower risk-adjusted return, than an investment in an S&P 500 index fund, but investors who bought and held the securities selected by darts achieved the greatest terminal wealth and risk-adjusted return. The darts out-performed the analysts on a nominal and risk-adjusted basis during the recent market decline, with darts and analysts generating higher nominal and risk-adjusted returns than the market index fund.

JEL Classification: G11, G14

Suggested Citation

Porter, Gary E., The Long-Term Value of Analysts' Advice in the Wall Street Journal's Investment Dartboard Contest. Journal of Applied Finance, Vol. 14, Issue 2, Fall/Winter 2004. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=670404

Gary E. Porter (Contact Author)

Northeastern University ( email )

360 Huntington Ave.
Boston, MA 02115
United States
407-484-7520 (Phone)

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