26 Pages Posted: 19 Apr 2005
Date Written: April 13, 2005
In this paper we simulate the performance of real estate portfolios using cash flows from commercial properties over the period 1977 Q4 through 2004 Q2. Our methodology differs from analyses that rely upon historical time-weighted rates of return on property. We relax implicit rebalancing and mark to market assumptions inherent in time-series analysis. We use the distribution of internal rates of return to analyze the performance distribution of commercial property investment. We examine the performance of real estate in the context of portfolios of stocks and bonds over the same period.
Keywords: Asset Allocation, Real Estate
JEL Classification: G11, R33
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Fisher, Jeffrey D. and Goetzmann, William N., The Performance of Real Estate Portfolios: A Simulation Approach (April 13, 2005). Yale ICF Working Paper No. 05-07. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=705303
By Ivan Jaccard