The Distributional Effects of Disinflationary Monetary Policy

The Jerome Levy Economics Institute Working Paper No. 144

39 Pages Posted: 26 Mar 1998

Abstract

Macroeconomists traditionally focus on the aggregate consequences of disinflationary monetary policy, not its distributional effects. This paper considers these distributional effects. The evidence indicates that contractionary monetary policy harms interest rate-sensitive industries by depressing output and employment and increasing the cost of capital. These industries are further hurt as declines in output and increases in the cost of capital reduce capital formation. The evidence also indicates that tight monetary policy in 1981-82 decimated the earnings of small firms. These earnings have remained at low levels since then. Finally, the evidence indicates that wealth holders are helped by contractionary monetary policy as interest rates increase and inflation declines. Before tightening monetary policy to pursue these benefits, however, policy makers should weigh carefully the damage that they will inflict on interest-sensitive sectors and small firms.

JEL Classification: E52, E58, E64

Suggested Citation

Thorbecke, Willem, The Distributional Effects of Disinflationary Monetary Policy. The Jerome Levy Economics Institute Working Paper No. 144. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=70816 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.70816

Willem Thorbecke (Contact Author)

Asian Development Bank Institute ( email )

Kasumigaseki Building 8F 3-2-5
Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku
Tokyo, 100-6008
Japan

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