Management Forecasts and Litigation Risk

48 Pages Posted: 2 May 2005

See all articles by Stephen Brown

Stephen Brown

University of Maryland - Department of Accounting & Information Assurance

Stephen A. Hillegeist

Arizona State University (ASU) - W. P. Carey School of Business, School of Accountancy

Kin Lo

University of British Columbia (UBC) - Sauder School of Business

Date Written: April 2005

Abstract

We examine the influence of the ex ante risk of class action securities litigation on firms' decisions to issue management earnings forecasts as well as the characteristics of those forecasts. We find that litigation risk is positively associated with the likelihood of issuing a forecast for both good- and bad-news firms. While the association is marginally stronger for firms with bad earnings news, our results suggest that litigation risk is unlikely to explain the observed preponderance of bad-news forecasts. We examine the effect of litigation risk on the amount of the total earnings news released in the forecast, on forecast horizon, and on forecast precision. These results indicate that higher litigation risk is associated with a higher proportion of news being released when firms have bad news. Finally, higher litigation risk is associated with forecasts being released earlier and being more precise.

Keywords: Management forecasts, litigation risk, forecast news, forecast precision, forecast horizon

JEL Classification: M10, M41, M45, K22

Suggested Citation

Brown, Stephen and Hillegeist, Stephen A. and Lo, Kin, Management Forecasts and Litigation Risk (April 2005). Sauder School of Business Working Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=709161 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.709161

Stephen Brown

University of Maryland - Department of Accounting & Information Assurance ( email )

Robert H. Smith School of Business
College Park, MD 20742-9157
United States

Stephen A. Hillegeist (Contact Author)

Arizona State University (ASU) - W. P. Carey School of Business, School of Accountancy ( email )

Tempe, AZ 85287-3706
United States
480-965-6614 (Phone)

Kin Lo

University of British Columbia (UBC) - Sauder School of Business ( email )

2053 Main Mall
Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z2
Canada
604-822-8430 (Phone)
604-822-9470 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.sauder.ubc.ca/Faculty/People/Faculty_Members/Lo_Kin

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