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Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health

30 Pages Posted: 9 Aug 2005  

Francesco Bosello

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM); University of Milan - Department of Economics, Business and Statistics; Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC)

Roberto Roson

Ca Foscari University of Venice - Dipartimento di Economia; Bocconi University - IEFE Centre for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy

Richard S. J. Tol

VU University Amsterdam - Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM); Carnegie Mellon University - Center for Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change; University of Hamburg - Centre for Marine and Climate Research (ZMK); Princeton University

Date Written: July 2005

Abstract

We study the economic impacts of climate-change-induced change in human health, viz. cardiovascular and respiratory disorders, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue fever and schistosomiasis. Changes in morbidity and mortality are interpreted as changes in labour productivity and demand for health care, and used to shock the GTAP-E computable general equilibrium model, calibrated for the year 2050. GDP, welfare and investment fall (rise) in regions with net negative (positive) health impacts. Prices, production, and terms of trade show a mixed pattern. Direct cost estimates, common in climate change impact studies, underestimate the true welfare losses.

Keywords: Impacts of climate change, human health, computable general equilibrium

JEL Classification: C68, D58, Q25

Suggested Citation

Bosello, Francesco and Roson, Roberto and Tol, Richard S. J., Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health (July 2005). FEEM Working Paper No. 97.2005. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=773926 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.773926

Francesco Bosello (Contact Author)

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) ( email )

Campo S. M. Formosa, Castello 5252
Venezia, 30122
Italy
+39 041 271 1459 (Phone)
+39 041 271 1461 (Fax)

University of Milan - Department of Economics, Business and Statistics

Via Festa del Perdono, 7
Milan, 20122
Italy

Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC)

Viale Gallipoli, 49
Lecce, 73100
Italy

Roberto Roson

Ca Foscari University of Venice - Dipartimento di Economia ( email )

Cannaregio 873
Venice, 30121
Italy
+39 041 2349147 (Phone)
+39 041 2349176 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://venus.unive.it/roson

Bocconi University - IEFE Centre for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy ( email )

viale Filippetti, 9
Milan, 20122
Italy

Richard S. J. Tol

VU University Amsterdam - Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) ( email )

De Boelelaan 1115
Amsterdam, 1081 HV
Netherlands
+31 20 444 9555 (Phone)
+31 20 444 9553 (Fax)

Carnegie Mellon University - Center for Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change

Pittsburgh, PA 15213-3890
United States

University of Hamburg - Centre for Marine and Climate Research (ZMK)

Troplowitzstrasse 7
D-22529 Hamburg
Germany

Princeton University ( email )

22 Chambers Street
Princeton, NJ 08544
United States

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