Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health

Bosello, Francesco; Roson, Roberto; Tol, Richard S. J.

doi:10.2139/ssrn.773926

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Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health

FEEM Working Paper No. 97.2005

30 Pages Posted: 9 Aug 2005

See all articles by Francesco Bosello

Francesco Bosello

University of Milan - Department of Economics, Business and Statistics; CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici

Roberto Roson

Ca Foscari University of Venice - Dipartimento di Economia; Bocconi University - IEFE Centre for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy; Loyola Andalucia University

VU University Amsterdam - Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM); Carnegie Mellon University - Center for Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change; University of Hamburg - Centre for Marine and Climate Research (ZMK); Princeton University

Date Written: July 2005

Abstract

We study the economic impacts of climate-change-induced change in human health, viz. cardiovascular and respiratory disorders, diarrhoea, malaria, dengue fever and schistosomiasis. Changes in morbidity and mortality are interpreted as changes in labour productivity and demand for health care, and used to shock the GTAP-E computable general equilibrium model, calibrated for the year 2050. GDP, welfare and investment fall (rise) in regions with net negative (positive) health impacts. Prices, production, and terms of trade show a mixed pattern. Direct cost estimates, common in climate change impact studies, underestimate the true welfare losses.

Keywords: Impacts of climate change, human health, computable general equilibrium

JEL Classification: C68, D58, Q25

Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation

Bosello, Francesco and Roson, Roberto and Tol, Richard S. J., Economy-Wide Estimates of the Implications of Climate Change: Human Health (July 2005). FEEM Working Paper No. 97.2005, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=773926 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.773926