Implementation Cycles in the New Economy

32 Pages Posted: 12 Sep 2005

See all articles by Pasquale Scaramozzino

Pasquale Scaramozzino

University of Rome II - Faculty of Economics; University of London - School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS); University of London - Centre for Financial and Management Studies (CeFIMS)

Jonathan R.W. Temple

University of Bristol - Department of Economics; Centre for Structural Econometrics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Nir Vulkan

University of Oxford - Said Business School

Date Written: May 2005

Abstract

The economic boom of the USA in the 1990s was remarkable in its duration, the sustained rise in equipment investment, the reduced volatility of productivity growth, and continued uncertainty about the trend growth rate. In this paper, we link these phenomena using an extension of the classic model of implementation cycles due to Shleifer (1986). The key idea is that uncertainty about the trend growth rate can lead firms to bring forward the implementation of innovations, temporarily eliminating expectations-driven business cycles, because delay is risky when beliefs are not common knowledge.

Keywords: Implementation cycles, New Economy, multiple equilibria

JEL Classification: E32

Suggested Citation

Scaramozzino, Pasquale and Temple, Jonathan R.W. and Vulkan, Nir, Implementation Cycles in the New Economy (May 2005). CEPR Discussion Paper No. 5032. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=774125

Pasquale Scaramozzino

University of Rome II - Faculty of Economics ( email )

Via Columbia n.2
Rome, 00100
Italy

University of London - School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) ( email )

Thornhaugh Street
Russell Square: College Buildings 541
London, WC1H 0XG
United Kingdom

University of London - Centre for Financial and Management Studies (CeFIMS)

Thornhaugh Street
London, WC1H 0XG
United Kingdom

Jonathan R.W. Temple (Contact Author)

University of Bristol - Department of Economics ( email )

8 Woodland Road
Bristol BS8 ITN
United Kingdom
+44 117 928 8430 (Phone)
+44 117 928 8577 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.bris.ac.uk/Depts/Economics/Growth/

Centre for Structural Econometrics ( email )

United Kingdom

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Nir Vulkan

University of Oxford - Said Business School ( email )

Park End Street
Oxford, OX1 1HP
Great Britain
+44 01865 288929, or 288338 (Phone)
+44 01865 288805 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: https://vulkan.worc.ox.ac.uk/

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