Doha Scenarios, Trade Reforms, and Poverty in the Philippines A CGE Analysis

64 Pages Posted: 29 Feb 2012

See all articles by Caesar B. Cororaton

Caesar B. Cororaton

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

John Cockburn

Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP); Université Laval; Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP)

Erwin Corong

De La Salle University

Date Written: July 2005

Abstract

The paper examines the possible impact of Doha agreement on Philippine poverty. Using a detailed CGE analysis, the agreement is observed to depress world demand for Philippine agricultural exports, and thus slightly increase poverty, especially among rural households. However, an ambitious full trade liberalization scenario, which involves free world trade and domestic liberalization, leads to increased industrial exports that favor urban households. These impacts are driven primarily by domestic trade liberalization, as free world trade favors the agricultural sector by increasing the cost of competing agricultural imports.

Keywords: doha agreement, computable general equilibrium (CGE), free trade, Philippines, poverty, economic theories, exports, trade liberalization, agricultural sector, urban population, rural population

JEL Classification: C68, F1

Suggested Citation

Cororaton, Caesar B. and Cockburn, John and Corong, Erwin, Doha Scenarios, Trade Reforms, and Poverty in the Philippines A CGE Analysis (July 2005). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=774346 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.774346

Caesar B. Cororaton (Contact Author)

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) ( email )

1201 Eye St, NW,
Washington, DC 20005
United States

John Cockburn

Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) ( email )

P.O. Box 30772-00100
ICIPE - Duduville Campus, Kasarani
Nairobi
Kenya

Université Laval ( email )

Dept. of Economics
Québec, Quebec G1V 0A6
Canada

Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP) ( email )

Duduville Campus, Kasarani
P.O. Box 30772-00100
Nairobi
Kenya

Erwin Corong

De La Salle University ( email )

Manila, 1004
Philippines

Here is the Coronavirus
related research on SSRN

Paper statistics

Downloads
220
Abstract Views
1,409
rank
143,991
PlumX Metrics