Strategic Trading When Agents Forecast the Forecasts of Others
J. OF FINANCE, Vol. 51 No. 4, September 1996
Posted: 20 Nov 1996
We analyze a multi-period model of trading with differentially informed traders, liquidity traders and a market maker. Each informed traders' initial information is a noisy estimate of the long-term value of the asset, and the different signals received by informed traders can have a variety of correlation structures. With this setup informed traders not only compete with each other for trading profits, they also learn about other traders' signals from the observed order flow. Our work suggests that the initial correlation among the informed traders' signals has a significant effect on the informed traders' profits and the informativeness of prices.
JEL Classification: G12, G19
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation