The Strategic Exercise of Options: Development Cascades and Overbuilding in Real Estate Markets.

J. OF FINANCE, Vol. 51 No. 5, December 1996

Posted: 19 Apr 1996

Abstract

This paper develops an equilibrium framework for strategic option exercise games. I focus on a particular example: the timing of real estate development. An analysis of the equilibrium exercise policies of developers provides insights into the forces that shape market behavior. The model isolates the factors that lead to some markets being prone to bursts of concentrated development. The model also provides an explanation for why some markets may experience building booms in the face of declining demand and property values. While such behavior is often regarded as irrational overbuilding, the model provides a rational foundation for such exercise patterns.

JEL Classification: R10, R31, G13

Suggested Citation

Grenadier, Steven R., The Strategic Exercise of Options: Development Cascades and Overbuilding in Real Estate Markets.. J. OF FINANCE, Vol. 51 No. 5, December 1996, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=7926

Steven R. Grenadier (Contact Author)

Stanford Graduate School of Business ( email )

Graduate School of Business
Stanford, CA 94305-5015
United States
650-725-0706 (Phone)
650-725-6152 (Fax)

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