The Impact of FX Central Bank Intervention in a Noise Trading Framework
40 Pages Posted: 28 Sep 2005
Date Written: August 2005
Abstract
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a fundamental value. Then, we investigate the role of central bank interventions in explaining the switching properties between the two types of agents. We find evidence that in the medium run, interventions increase the proportion of fundamentalists and therefore exert some stabilizing influence on the exchange rate.
JEL Classification: F31, F33
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?
Recommended Papers
-
Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market: Is it Effective, and, If so, How Does it Work?
By Mark P. Taylor and Lucio Sarno
-
By Gabriele Galati and William R. Melick
-
U.S. Intervention: Assessing the Probability of Success
By Owen Humpage
-
Does Central Bank Intervention Increase the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates?
-
Is Foreign Exchange Intervention Effective?: The Japanese Experiences in the 1990s
-
Does Foreign Exchange Intervention Signal Future Monetary Policy?
By Graciela Kaminsky and Karen K. Lewis
-
The Practice of Central Bank Intervention: Looking Under the Hood
-
Is Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention Effective after All? An Event Study Approach
By Rasmus Fatum and Michael M. Hutchison