39 Pages Posted: 19 Jan 2006 Last revised: 25 Feb 2015
Date Written: October 2007
We present findings from a controlled field experiment that allows us to investigate the dynamic effects of retail advertising. The experimental design overcomes limitations that have hindered previous investigations of this issue. Our study uncovers dynamic advertising effects that have not been previously considered in the literature. We find that current advertising does affect future sales but surprisingly, the affect is not always positive; for the firm's best customers the long-run outcome may be negative. We argue that this finding reflects two competing effects: brand-switching and intertemporal substitution. The study also provides evidence of cross-channel substitution, with the firm's best customers switching demand to the ordering channel that corresponds to the advertising.
Keywords: Advertising, Direct Mail, Field Experiment, Internet, Catalog, long-run demand
JEL Classification: C93, M31, M37, L81, L15, O30, L2
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Simester, Duncan and Hu, Yu Jeffrey and Brynjolfsson, Erik and Anderson, Eric, Dynamics of Retail Advertising: Evidence from a Field Experiment (October 2007). Economic Inquiry, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=875396 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.875396