Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Romania

30 Pages Posted: 30 Jan 2006

Date Written: June 2003


Quantifying the size and speed of the exchange rate pass-through to prices is important for formulating monetary policy decisions in Romania. Using a recursive VAR model, this paper finds that (i) the pass-through is large and relatively fast, accounting for a sizable fraction of inflation; (ii) the pass-through from the exchange rate against the U.S. dollar is larger, if not faster, than the one from alternative exchange rate benchmarks; and (iii) the pass-through to producer prices seems to have moderated recently, while the same cannot be said yet for consumer prices.

Keywords: Romania, pass-through, VAR, inflation, distribution chain

JEL Classification: C32, E31, E52, F31, O52

Suggested Citation

Gueorguiev, Nikolay, Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Romania (June 2003). IMF Working Paper No. 03/130, Available at SSRN:

Nikolay Gueorguiev (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street NW
Washington, DC 20431
United States

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