Forecasting Inflation in Indonesia
24 Pages Posted: 31 Jan 2006
Date Written: June 2002
Abstract
A reliable inflation-forecasting model is central for a sound monetary policy framework. In this paper, we study the domestic and international transmission effects on inflation in Indonesia and analyze the possible leading indicators of inflation. We identify the exchange rate, foreign inflation, and monetary growth as the main variables with a significant predictive power for inflation in Indonesia.
Keywords: Indonesia, inflation forecasting
JEL Classification: C51, E31, E37
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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