The Morning after: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s

37 Pages Posted: 10 Feb 2006

See all articles by Tamim Bayoumi

Tamim Bayoumi

International Monetary Fund (IMF); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: January 1999

Abstract

This paper uses vector autoregressions (VARs) to investigate four explanations of the extended slump in Japanese economic activity during the 1990s: the absence of bold and consistent fiscal stimulus; limited room for expansionary monetary policy because of a liquidity trap; asset price deflation reflecting the long-term problems caused by overinvestment, inadequate returns on saving, and debt overhang; and disruption of financial intermediation. The results indicate that disruption in financial intermediation, largely operating through the impact of changes in domestic asset prices on bank lending, has been the principal case of the slump.

Keywords: Economic slump, financial intermediation

JEL Classification: E32, E44

Suggested Citation

Bayoumi, Tamim, The Morning after: Explaining the Slowdown in Japanese Growth in the 1990s (January 1999). IMF Working Paper, Vol. , pp. 1-37, 1999. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=880540

Tamim Bayoumi (Contact Author)

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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

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United Kingdom

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