15 Pages Posted: 20 Feb 2006
This letter describes Peter Pilgrim's progress through a landscape inhabited by hydraheaded Bayesian dragons and by other incorporeal beasts that also seem impervious to the physical assaults of material mortals. Peter eventually realizes that physical attacks against demons and monsters such as Bayesian dragons are ineffective because incorporeal creatures such as Bayesian dragons have no real existence.
Peter Pilgrim is a Doctor of Facts. He is a member of the Reformed Academic Congregation of Evidence, which is an academic movement that seeks to revise and liberalize the teachings of its predecessor, the Academic Congregation of Evidence (Orthodox). In the course of his letter Peter identifies some of the key tenets of the reform movement that he so admires, and he explains why it is an error to think that the mysteries of numbers lie at the heart of the new creed.
Keywords: evidence, probability, Bayesianism, numbers and logic, stories and inference, New Evidence Scholarship
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Tillers, Peter, A Curious Document Recently Discovered in the Archives. Cardozo Law Review, Vol. 14, No. 149, pp. 149-163, 1992. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=882376