Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature

51 Pages Posted: 15 Feb 2006

See all articles by Robert P. Flood

Robert P. Flood

International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department; CENTRUM Business School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Nancy Peregrim Marion

Dartmouth College - Department of Economics

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: September 1998

Abstract

In the 1990s, currency crises in Europe, Mexico, and Asia have drawn worldwide attention to speculative attacks on government-controlled exchange rates and have prompted researchers to undertake new theoretical and empirical analysis of these events. This paper provides some perspective on this work and relates it to earlier research. It derives the optimal commitment to a fixed exchange rate and proposes a common framework for analyzing currency crises. This framework stresses the important role of speculators and recognizes that the government`s commitment to a fixed exchange rate is constrained by other policy goals. The final section finds that some crises may be particularly difficult to predict using currently popular methods.

Keywords: Speculative attack, currency crisis

JEL Classification: F3

Suggested Citation

Flood, Robert P. and Marion, Nancy P., Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature (September 1998). IMF Working Paper No. 98/130, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=882684

Robert P. Flood (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) - Research Department ( email )

700 19th Street NW
Washington, DC 20431
United States
202-623-7667 (Phone)
202-623-6339 (Fax)

CENTRUM Business School

Daniel Alomía Robles s/n
Los Alamos de Monterrico
Surco, Lima, Lima 00001
Peru

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Nancy P. Marion

Dartmouth College - Department of Economics ( email )

Hanover, NH 03755
United States
(603) 646-2511 (Phone)

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