Tourism Area Life Cycle Extensions
Annals of Tourism Research, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 557-570, 1993
Posted: 18 Apr 2006
This paper investigates the effect of both strategic and environmental factors on the tourist area life cycle for Cypress Gardens. It is hypothesized that both types of factors can have a revitalization effect on the tourist area life cycle. A step-logarithmic function is used to model the attendance for the tourist attraction. Strategic and environmental factors are both found to have a significant effect on the life cycle and the step-logarithmic function demonstrates a very good model fit for the life cycle. The implications for tourist areas are discussed.
Keywords: Tourist life cycle, step-logarithmic model, regression analysis, ARIMA, central Florida, tourism forecasting.
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