Uncovered Interest Parity
14 Pages Posted: 17 May 2006
There are 2 versions of this paper
Uncovered Interest Parity
Date Written: April 2006
Abstract
This paper provides an overview of the uncovered interest parity assumption. It traces the history of the interest parity concept, summarizes evidence on the empirical validity of uncovered interest parity, and discusses different interpretations of the evidence and the implications for macroeconomic analysis. The uncovered interest parity assumption has been an important building block in multiperiod models of open economies, and although its validity is strongly challenged by the empirical evidence, at least at short time horizons, its retention in macroeconomic models is supported on pragmatic grounds by the lack of much empirical support for existing models of the exchange risk premium.
Keywords: Interest parity, interest arbitrage, unbiasedness hypothesis, exchange risk premium
JEL Classification: F3, F41
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
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