13 Pages Posted: 21 Jul 2006
Date Written: June 2006
This paper focuses on the characteristics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets. In these markets, quotes for day-ahead delivery of electricity are submitted simultaneously for all hours in the next day. The same information set is used for quoting all hours of the day. The dynamics of hourly electricity prices does not behave as a time series process. Instead, these prices should be treated as a panel in which the prices of 24 cross-sectional hours vary from day to day. This paper introduces a panel model for hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets and examines their characteristics. The results show that hourly electricity prices exhibit hourly specific mean-reversion and that they oscillate around an hourly specific mean price level. Furthermore, a block structured cross-sectional correlation pattern between the hours is apparent.
Keywords: energy markets, day-ahead electricity electricity prices, panel models
JEL Classification: C23, D40, G10, H41
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Huisman, Ronald and Huurman, C. and Mahieu, Ronald, Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-ahead Markets (June 2006). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=918050 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.918050
By Carl Ullrich