The Doha Development Agenda: Mixed Prospects for Developing Countries

38 Pages Posted: 22 Aug 2006

See all articles by Alan Matthews

Alan Matthews

Trinity College (Dublin) - Department of Economics

Keith Walsh

Revenue Commissioners; IIIS

Date Written: June 2006

Abstract

This paper uses the GTAP computable general equilibrium model to assess the impact of a Doha Development Agenda agreement on agricultural trade liberalisation. In particular, we examine the consequences for developing countries. The simulation incorporates further liberalisation in the areas of market access, export competition and domestic support. Most developing regions can expect strong positive results from this liberalisation, however some suffer a decrease in welfare. The magnitude of the welfare effect for these countries depends on measures to be taken by developing countries themselves, and whether they will materialise must be uncertain. The results highlight the importance of the impact of further liberalisation of the erosion of preferential trading arrangements enjoyed by developing regions.

Keywords: Agricultural trade liberalisation, GTAP, developing countries

JEL Classification: F13, Q17, Q18

Suggested Citation

Matthews, Alan and Walsh, Keith, The Doha Development Agenda: Mixed Prospects for Developing Countries (June 2006). IIIS Discussion Paper No. 157. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=925674 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.925674

Alan Matthews (Contact Author)

Trinity College (Dublin) - Department of Economics ( email )

Dublin 2
Ireland
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+00353 1 677 2503 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.tcd.ie/Economics/staff/amtthews/index.htm

Keith Walsh

Revenue Commissioners ( email )

Dublin Castle
Dublin 2
Ireland

HOME PAGE: http://www.revenue.ie

IIIS ( email )

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Trinity College
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Ireland

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