Budgets, Internal Reports and Manager Forecast Accuracy

45 Pages Posted: 25 Oct 2006

See all articles by Gavin Cassar

Gavin Cassar

INSEAD

Brian Gibson

University of New England (Australia) - New England Business School

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: August 15, 2007

Abstract

This study investigates the association between the accuracy of revenue forecasts and the accounting activities of budget preparation and internal accounting report preparation. While both budgets and internal reports are widely used, empirical evidence concerning their influence on the prediction of future performance is extremely limited. Consistent with the availability of formal accounting information improving predictive performance, we observe that internal accounting report preparation significantly improves forecast accuracy. However, partitioning firms by forecasting difficulty reveals that the accuracy benefits from internal reports preparation are only observed for firms with high uncertainty. Further, the results provide limited support for linkages between budget preparation and forecast accuracy. While we observe the use of budget preparation and internal accounting report preparation are a function of firms' structural and environmental characteristics, firms do not appear to adopt these activities as a function of forecasting difficulty, but rather as a function of predicted changes in future growth.

Keywords: absolute forecast error, budgeting, forecasting, internal reporting

JEL Classification: M10, M40, M41, M46

Suggested Citation

Cassar, Gavin and Gibson, Brian, Budgets, Internal Reports and Manager Forecast Accuracy (August 15, 2007). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=939332 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.939332

Gavin Cassar (Contact Author)

INSEAD ( email )

Boulevard de Constance
Fontainebleau, 77305
France

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.insead.edu/faculty-research/faculty/gavin-cassar

Brian Gibson

University of New England (Australia) - New England Business School ( email )

Armidale, New South Wales
Australia

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