Trade in Services: Does Gravity Hold? A Gravity Model Approach to Estimating Barriers to Services Trade

41 Pages Posted: 16 Nov 2006 Last revised: 8 Apr 2011

See all articles by Keith Walsh

Keith Walsh

Revenue Commissioners; IIIS

Date Written: October 2006

Abstract

This paper assesses the determinants of trade in services using a gravity model, with particular attention given to the role of barriers to services trade. Initially, the application of the gravity equation to services trade is examined. A variety of econometric estimators are tested and the Hausman-Taylor model is found to be the best estimator. The gravity model fits services trade flows in a similar manner to trade in goods. Wealth of countries and a common language are the most important determinants of services trade, distance is generally found to be insignificant. A variable measuring barriers to services trade is introduced into the gravity equation. Although the variable is only found to be weakly significant, a quantified set of tariff equivalents of those barriers is estimated.

Suggested Citation

Walsh, Keith, Trade in Services: Does Gravity Hold? A Gravity Model Approach to Estimating Barriers to Services Trade (October 2006). IIIS Discussion Paper Series No. 183, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=945335 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.945335

Keith Walsh (Contact Author)

Revenue Commissioners ( email )

Dublin Castle
Dublin 2
Ireland

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IIIS ( email )

The Sutherland Centre, Level 6, Arts Building
Trinity College
Dublin 2
Ireland

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