40 Pages Posted: 22 Dec 2006
Date Written: November 2006
Aggressive deregulation of the mortgage market in the early 1980s triggered innovations that greatly reduced the required home equity of U.S. households. This allowed households to cash-out a large part of accumulated equity, which equaled 71 percent of GDP in 1982. A borrowing surge followed: Household debt increased from 43 to 62 percent of GDP in the 1982-2000 period. What are the welfare implications of such a reform for borrowers and savers? This paper uses a calibrated general equilibrium model of lending from the wealthy to the middle class to evaluate these effects quantitatively.
Keywords: Financial Reform, Mortgage Debt, Interest Rates
JEL Classification: E44, E65
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Campbell, Jeffrey R. and Hercowitz, Zvi, Welfare Implications of the Transition to High Household Debt (November 2006). FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. 2006-27. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=953219 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.953219