The Tradeoff between Home Runs and Contact Rate

12 Pages Posted: 24 Dec 2006

Date Written: December 23, 2006


This paper develops a new framework for understanding the at-bat, approaching the batter's outcomes of home runs and contact rate as revealed preferences derived from a utility optimization among mutually exclusive "long ball" and "small ball" attempts. The theory is then tested on a large sample of Major League Baseball veterans with two different panel data models. Both models find a significant and negative relationship between home runs per at-bat and contact rate.

Keywords: baseball, panel data, longitudinal, home runs

JEL Classification: C23, L83, D2

Suggested Citation

Cinamon, Lawrence W., The Tradeoff between Home Runs and Contact Rate (December 23, 2006). Available at SSRN: or

Lawrence W. Cinamon (Contact Author)

Johns Hopkins University ( email )

Baltimore, MD 20036-1984
United States

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