Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-Ahead Markets

16 Pages Posted: 16 Jan 2007

See all articles by Ronald Huisman

Ronald Huisman

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE)

C. Huurman

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Rotterdam School of Management (RSM)

Ronald Mahieu

Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research, Econometrics and Finance Group; TiasNimbas Business School

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Date Written: January 15, 2007

Abstract

This paper focuses on the characteristics of hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets. In these markets, quotes for day-ahead delivery of electricity are submitted simultaneously for all hours in the next day. The same information set is used for quoting all hours of the day. The dynamics of hourly electricity prices does not behave as a time series process. Instead, these prices should be treated as a panel in which the prices of 24 cross-sectional hours vary from day to day. This paper introduces a panel model for hourly electricity prices in day-ahead markets and examines their characteristics. The results show that hourly electricity prices exhibit hourly specific mean-reversion and that they oscillate around an hourly specific mean price level. Furthermore, a block structured cross-sectional correlation pattern between the hours is apparent.

Keywords: Day-ahead electricity, Electricity prices, Energy markets, Panel models

Suggested Citation

Huisman, Ronald and Huurman, Christian and Mahieu, Ronald J., Hourly Electricity Prices in Day-Ahead Markets (January 15, 2007). ERIM Report Series Reference No. ERS-2007-002-F&A, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=957413

Ronald Huisman (Contact Author)

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) ( email )

P.O. Box 1738
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Christian Huurman

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Rotterdam School of Management (RSM) ( email )

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Ronald J. Mahieu

Tilburg University - Center for Economic Research, Econometrics and Finance Group ( email )

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