Inflation in Poland: How Much Can Globalization Explain?

23 Pages Posted: 4 Mar 2007

See all articles by Céline Allard

Céline Allard

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Date Written: February 2007

Abstract

This paper analyses how globalization has affected inflation in the New EU Members States (NMS), and Poland in particular, since 1995. It finds prices have become less sensitive to domestic economic conditions as trade integration rose, possibly because monetary policy incentives increasingly shifted toward meeting price stability objectives. Quantitatively, globalization appears to have lowered Polish prices by ½ to 1 percentage point annually since 1995, substantially more than in advanced economies. However, future inflation-dampening effects in the NMS are likely to be smaller as the pace of increases in trade openness moderates.

Keywords: Inflation, Poland, Globalization, Trade policy

JEL Classification: E31, E52, F15, L11

Suggested Citation

Allard, Celine, Inflation in Poland: How Much Can Globalization Explain? (February 2007). IMF Working Paper No. 07/41, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=967882

Celine Allard (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

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