Hybrid and Size-Corrected Subsample Methods

87 Pages Posted: 6 Mar 2007

See all articles by Donald W. K. Andrews

Donald W. K. Andrews

Yale University - Cowles Foundation

Patrik Guggenberger

Pennsylvania State University, College of the Liberal Arts - Department of Economic

Date Written: March 2007


This paper considers the problem of constructing tests and confidence intervals (CIs) that have correct asymptotic size in a broad class of non-regular models. The models considered are non-regular in the sense that standard test statistics have asymptotic distributions that are discontinuous in some parameters. It is shown in Andrews and Guggenberger (2005a) that standard fixed critical value, subsample, and b < n bootstrap methods often have incorrect size in such models. This paper introduces general methods of constructing tests and CIs that have correct size. First, procedures are introduced that are a hybrid of subsample and fixed critical value methods. The resulting hybrid procedures are easy to compute and have correct size asymptotically in many, but not all, cases of interest. Second, the paper introduces size-correction and plug-in size-correction methods for fixed critical value, subsample, and hybrid tests. The paper also introduces finite-sample adjustments to the asymptotic results of Andrews and Guggenberger (2005a) for subsample and hybrid methods and employs these adjustments in size-correction.

The paper discusses several examples in detail. The examples are: (i) tests when a nuisance parameter may be near a boundary, (ii) CIs in an autoregressive model with a root that may be close to unity, and (iii) tests and CIs based on a post-conservative model selection estimator.

Keywords: Asymptotic size, Autoregressive model, b < n bootstrap, Finite-sample size, Hybrid test, Model selection, Over-rejection, Parameter near boundary, Size correction, Subsample confidence interval, Subsample test

JEL Classification: C12, C15

Suggested Citation

Andrews, Donald W. K. and Guggenberger, Patrik, Hybrid and Size-Corrected Subsample Methods (March 2007). Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1606, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=968434

Donald W. K. Andrews (Contact Author)

Yale University - Cowles Foundation ( email )

Box 208281
New Haven, CT 06520-8281
United States
203-432-3698 (Phone)
203-432-6167 (Fax)

Patrik Guggenberger

Pennsylvania State University, College of the Liberal Arts - Department of Economic ( email )

524 Kern Graduate Building
University Park, PA 16802-3306
United States

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