Suppressed Negative Information and Future Underperformance

41 Pages Posted: 17 Apr 2007

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: January 23, 2007

Abstract

We present evidence of inefficient information processing in equity markets by documenting that negative information withheld by securities analysts is reflected in stock prices with a significant delay. We estimate the extent of the withheld negative information based on the proportion of analysts who stop revising their annual earnings forecasts. This measure predicts negative earnings surprises and negative price reaction around earnings announcements. It could also be used to generate profitable trading strategies. We show that institutions tend to sell their stock holdings as our measure of unreported negative news increases, thus ameliorating the mispricing.

Keywords: analyst incentives, dropped coverage, mispricing, earnings surprises

JEL Classification: G00, G12, G14

Suggested Citation

Scherbina, Anna D., Suppressed Negative Information and Future Underperformance (January 23, 2007). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=981063 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.981063

Anna D. Scherbina (Contact Author)

Brandeis University ( email )

415 South Street
Waltham, MA 02453
United States

HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/a/brandeis.edu/anna-scherbina/

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