Global Versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Account

40 Pages Posted: 4 May 2007 Last revised: 26 Oct 2022

See all articles by Reuven Glick

Reuven Glick

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - Center for Pacific Basin Monetary & Economic Studies

Kenneth Rogoff

Harvard University - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Date Written: August 1992

Abstract

The intertemporal approach to the current account is often regarded as theoretically elegant but of limited empirical significance. This paper derives highly tractable current account and investment specifications that we estimate without resorting to calibration or simulation methods. In time-series data for eight industrialized countries, we find that country-specific productivity shocks tend to worsen the current account, whereas global shocks have little effect. Both types of shock raise investment. It is a puzzle, however, for the intertemporal model that long-lasting local productivity shocks have a larger impact effect on investment than on current account.

Suggested Citation

Glick, Reuven and Rogoff, Kenneth S., Global Versus Country-Specific Productivity Shocks and the Current Account (August 1992). NBER Working Paper No. w4140, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=981141

Reuven Glick

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco - Center for Pacific Basin Monetary & Economic Studies ( email )

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Kenneth S. Rogoff (Contact Author)

Harvard University - Department of Economics ( email )

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National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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